German Voters Set to Punish Merkel’s Conservative Bloc

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BERLIN—Elections in two of Germany’s most prosperous regions are likely to diminish Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative bloc and further destabilize her fragile government, potentially even jeopardizing her leadership.

The first vote takes place on Sunday in Bavaria, home to BMW, Siemens and Adidas, where polls show the conservative Christian Social Union winning just 33% of the vote. That would be the party’s worst result since 1950 and force it to seek a coalition partner to stay in power, only the second time it would…



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